Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4986 LANDED 12:15 AM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

OO 4986 · ORD → HSV

took off 11:07 PM CT · landed 12:15 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

HSV (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4986 · ORD → HSV

Odds over time