OO 5116 · RKS → DEN

took off 3:15 PM MT · landed 4:09 PM MT (scheduled 2:16 PM MT → 3:40 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at RKS that day

Weather at each end

RKS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5116 · RKS → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?