OO 5404 · SGF → DEN

took off 5:32 PM CT · landed 6:09 PM MT (scheduled 5:01 PM CT → 6:25 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±3 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ SGF is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5404 · SGF → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?