Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5431 LANDED 5:22 PM MT, ~26 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 5431 · LNK → DEN

took off 5:11 PM CT · landed 5:22 PM MT (scheduled 5:05 PM CT → 5:54 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts −39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 867 ft forecast at LNK that day

↑ 5pm departures from LNK are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LNK (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling867 ft Visibility4.66667 mi Precip0.04 in

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5431 · LNK → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?