Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5878 LANDED 2:46 PM MT, ~3 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29 Today

OO 5878 · SAF → DEN

took off 1:55 PM MT · landed 2:46 PM MT (scheduled 1:22 PM MT → 2:55 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ SAF usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

SAF (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip2.09 in

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5878 · SAF → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?