Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5878
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5878 · SAF → DEN
departs 1:22 PM MT · arrives 2:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 9/30 46%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±4 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAF
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAF (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.