Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5962
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 5962 · SFO → SBA
departs 6:16 PM PT · arrives 7:43 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 30%
Thu 10/1 24%
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SBA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SBA?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SBA (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.