Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6232 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

OO 6232 · ORD → FWA

departs 8:17 AM CT · arrives 10:30 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ORD that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FWA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

FWA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6232 · ORD → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?