Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 6232 · ORD → FWA
departs 8:17 AM CT · arrives 10:30 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 9/30 31%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at FWA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FWA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into FWA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.11 in
FWA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.