Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6459
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
OO 6459 · STS → PHX
departs 4:12 PM PT · arrives 6:23 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 18%
Thu 10/1 19%
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
STS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
STS (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.