Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6459
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
OO 6459 · STS → PHX
departs 4:12 PM PT · arrives 6:23 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 19%
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
STS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.