UA 1331 · EWR → MSP

departs 9:55 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at EWR that day

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.66 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1331 · EWR → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?