Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1617 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:57 PM CT, ETA 5:37 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

UA 1617 · ORD → BDL

took off 2:57 PM CT · expected to land 5:37 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1617 · ORD → BDL

Odds over time