Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2753 LANDED 11:38 AM ET, ~18 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

UA 2753 · IAH → MIA

took off 8:06 AM CT · landed 11:38 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ Other factors

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at IAH that day

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2753 · IAH → MIA

Odds over time