Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1594
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 1594 · TUL → PHX
departs 2:05 PM CT · arrives 2:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.