Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1716
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 1716 · DEN → SEA
departs 6:15 PM MT · arrives 8:30 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 69%
Thu 10/1 50%
Fri 10/2 50%
Sat 10/3 34%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.