Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2002
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
WN 2002 · HOU → LAS
departs 2:40 PM CT · arrives 3:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 23%
Thu 10/1 6%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.