Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2045 LANDED 5:17 PM PT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 2045 · DEN → OAK

took off 4:14 PM MT · landed 5:17 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2045 · DEN → OAK

Odds over time