WN 2045 · DEN → OAK

departs 4:04 PM MT · arrives 5:32 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at OAK that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.35 in

OAK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2045 · DEN → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?