Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2243
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2243 · LAS → HOU
departs 3:50 PM PT · arrives 9:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 24%
Thu 10/1 37%
Fri 10/2 29%
Sat 10/3 23%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±2 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at HOU that day
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.