Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2262
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2262 · LAS → LIH
departs 9:25 AM PT · arrives 12:45 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 24%
Thu 10/1 19%
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
LIH is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling 4,700 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.09 in
LIH (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.