Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 254 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 254 · MSP → MDW

departs 5:48 PM CT · arrives 6:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.57 in

MDW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 254 · MSP → MDW

Odds over time