Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2832 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:46 PM ET, ETA 6:11 PM AT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 2832 · MCO → SJU

took off 3:46 PM ET · expected to land 6:11 PM AT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2832 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time