WN 2832 · MCO → SJU

departs 3:16 PM ET · arrives 6:07 PM AT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ SJU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

SJU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2832 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?