Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2897 LANDED 6:52 PM ET, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 2897 · MSP → BWI

took off 3:45 PM CT · landed 6:52 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.66 in

BWI (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2897 · MSP → BWI

Odds over time