Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2945
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 2945 · MKE → DEN
departs 2:40 PM CT · arrives 4:10 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 9/30 58%
Thu 10/1 33%
Fri 10/2 21%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 10,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.