Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Today
WN 3098 · OGG → HNL
departs 7:00 PM HT · arrives 7:45 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 11%
Thu 10/1 13%
Fri 10/2 7%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
3.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.