Schedule: a typical Tuesday (the flights of Jul 28, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3311
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday
WN 3311 · PHX → OMA
departs 7:05 PM MT · arrives 11:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 9/29
Today 36%
Thu 10/1 24%
Fri 10/2 30%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
7pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.34 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.