Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3576 LANDED 6:35 AM ET, ~1 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

WN 3576 · SJC → BWI

took off 10:48 PM PT · landed 6:35 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ 10pm departures from SJC are usually not late

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility9.2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3576 · SJC → BWI

Odds over time