Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4062 LANDED 6:01 PM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Today

WN 4062 · BWI → AUS

took off 4:14 PM ET · landed 6:01 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at AUS that day

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4062 · BWI → AUS

Odds over time