Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4932 LANDED 11:33 AM ET, ~20 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29

WN 4932 · MDW → CLT

took off 9:11 AM CT · landed 11:33 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ MDW is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4932 · MDW → CLT

Odds over time