Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 6251 LANDED 12:25 PM CT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, September 29 Yesterday

YV 6251 · DTW → IAH

took off 11:03 AM ET · landed 12:25 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at IAH that day

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6251 · DTW → IAH

Odds over time