YV 6251 · DTW → IAH

departs 11:04 AM ET · arrives 1:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at IAH that day

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6251 · DTW → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?