YX 3410 · EWR → BTV

took off 8:58 AM ET · landed 9:48 AM ET (scheduled 8:07 AM ET → 9:31 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BTV?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at BTV that day

↓ Arrivals into BTV at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BTV (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3410 · EWR → BTV

Odds over time

How late did it get to BTV?