Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5627 LANDED 4:12 PM ET, ~28 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, September 29 Today

YX 5627 · BOS → IND

took off 2:19 PM ET · landed 4:12 PM ET (scheduled 1:59 PM ET → 4:46 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IND?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ Arrivals into IND at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.01 in

IND (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5627 · BOS → IND

Odds over time

How late did it get to IND?