YX 5627 · BOS → IND

departs 1:59 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Arrivals into IND at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ IND usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5627 · BOS → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?