Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1069 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AA 1069 · PIT → MIA

departs 6:54 PM ET · arrives 9:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at PIT that day

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1069 · PIT → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?