Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1545 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

AA 1545 · SFO → MIA

departs 9:49 PM PT · arrives 6:34 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

67% chance · ±0 pts +42 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
48%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1545 · SFO → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?