Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 16 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:39 AM PT, ETA 7:27 PM ET)
Today

AA 16 · SFO → JFK

took off 11:39 AM PT · expected to land 7:27 PM ET (scheduled 10:15 AM PT → 7:04 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
98% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    2%
  2. 15–30 min late
    30%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    67%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.