tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 16 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 16 · SFO → JFK

departs 10:15 AM PT · arrives 7:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
34% chance · ±3 pts +15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.