Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2003 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AA 2003 · DFW → SEA

departs 8:13 PM CT · arrives 10:26 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

SEA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2003 · DFW → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?