Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2007 LANDED 6:42 AM CT, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AA 2007 · DCA → DFW

took off 5:11 AM ET · landed 6:42 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2007 · DCA → DFW

Odds over time