Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2100 LANDED 8:57 AM PT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

AA 2100 · CLT → SAN

took off 7:14 AM ET · landed 8:57 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2100 · CLT → SAN

Odds over time