tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2140 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2140 · DFW → MRY

departs 10:15 AM CT · arrives 11:50 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MRY?

  1. On time or early
    53%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.