tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2140 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2140 · DFW → MRY

departs 10:15 AM CT · arrives 11:50 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MRY?

  1. On time or early
    71%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.