Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2236 LANDED 1:59 PM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

AA 2236 · CLT → CMH

took off 1:06 PM ET · landed 1:59 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2236 · CLT → CMH

Odds over time