Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2275 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30

AA 2275 · ORD → PBI

departs 1:51 PM CT · arrives 6:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PBI?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.95 in

PBI (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2275 · ORD → PBI

Odds over time

How late will it get to PBI?