Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2296 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AA 2296 · PIT → ORD

departs 8:49 PM ET · arrives 9:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at PIT that day

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.77 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2296 · PIT → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?