Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 243 LANDED 11:23 AM ET, ~1 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AA 243 · HAV → MIA

took off · landed 11:23 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HAV (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MIA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 243 · HAV → MIA

Odds over time