AA 2742 · CLT → ROC

took off 10:29 AM ET · landed 11:54 AM ET (scheduled 10:08 AM ET → 12:03 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ROC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Arrivals into ROC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ROC (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2742 · CLT → ROC

Odds over time

How late did it get to ROC?